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Election Reform: Is the Cure Worse than the Disease?

October 29th, 2009 by Margaret Martin

ballotEarlier this month, the Center of the American Experiment released a report, entitled “No Longer a National Model: Fifteen Recommendations Fixing Minnesota Election Law and Practice.”The report, authored by American Experiment Senior Fellow Dr. Kent Kaiser with the input of numerous (but unnamed) contributors, criticizes aspects of the election system in Minnesota and proposes solutions for some of the problems seen in recent days, especially in the lengthy and controversial recount process in the 2008 US Senate race.

The fifteen proposals have already been lauded by the Pioneer Press and Politics in Minnesota. Many of the proposals are no-brainers. For example, it’s unacceptable that “Military absentee ballots were 16 times more likely to be rejected and that most of them were rejected because they were received after Election Day.” Logistical problems and a tight schedule from primary to election day in Minnesota are to blame. Another example: (although the debate often carries a partisan edge) the inability to verify voters at the polls with something as simple as a photo ID requirement is a problem. Allowing voters who vote absentee to “verify” their ballots as valid by running them through a test machine seems like a reasonable idea, although the ability to do that doesn’t seem like it would help people mailing in ballots, especially from afar. Yet another example: checking to make sure that people aren’t voting in multiple states. If somebody applies for a drivers’ license in another state, the license in the other state is automatically cancelled. Why not the voter registration? Many of the technical solutions being proposed are sound and simple and one may ask why haven’t they been proposed before? One suggestion is already on the table. Senator Al Franken has just submitted a bill to Congress requiring states to grant at least 45 days for overseas ballots to be issued and returned.

There are other suggestions that may generate more controversy.  Not, as you might imagine given the Center’s conservative bent, with liberals who might find changes to be a handicap to access, but rather to conservatives and libertarians who might well ask, how do these suggestions fit with constitutional principles? We are talking about a basic element in our democratic government, one that defines it, gives it is shape and credibility.

Center of the American Experiment President Mitch Pearlstein provides a response to that question in his foreword. “…while the explicit purpose of most of the previous investigations was to apply conservative and free market tests to what the government does, the explicit purpose this time around has been to have nothing whatsoever with anything ideological—be it right, left, sideways –as conducting elections which command the trust of citizens is of an entirely different order.”

Nice try, but it’s a cop out. Political Science 101 teaches us that ideology is embodied in institutions. That’s true if you are a libertarian, a Marxist or a feminist. When we tinker with the mechanics of something as fundamental as an election, we need to pay even greater attention to the messages we send and the behaviors we incentivize and judge them according to whether they conflict with and undermine or help to translate constitutional principles in light of new problems and possibilities.
Returning to the question of the photo ID for voters–yes, it is controversial on the left, as a “barrier to voting.” ( Let’s leave aside for a moment it is nearly impossible to live in the modern world without being able to acquire and present a photo ID of some sort, whether to drive, to purchase certain classes of items or to conduct even the smallest of financial transactions.) Civil libertarians are critical of any sort of government controlled and mandated ID card where data is collected on an individuals’ movements or tagged with other personal identifiers. Dr Kaiser’s characterization of the use of such an ID is not likely to put their fears to rest:

“A quick swipe of a photo ID through a card reader could fill in the data fields in the state’s voter registration system, thereby eliminating common data-entry mistakes that take place with the current pen and paper registration system. A quick swipe of such ID at the sign-in-table in the polling place on Election Day would eliminate the need to line up by parts of the alphabet, would conserve thousands of pounds of paper currently used to print voter rosters in every election, and would greatly speed up the lines in polling places. It would also eliminate the need for post-Election Day data entry of voter participation history, which after the 2008 election took several months and cost county governments tens of thousands of dollars to complete.”

There is obviously a tradeoff in cost, convenience and the integrity of the vote vs. having to present a “swipeable” government ID with a yet to be determined amount of personal data. But we aren’t looking at “ideology” so privacy concerns and civil rights concerns are not considered here.

Another of the more controversial aspects of the report is likely to be how many of the solutions to the current problems boil down to “centralizing” the process at the state level. Historically, cities and counties (local units of government) have controlled elections. This is not merely a practical matter but a reflection of local governance and local control enshrined in the constitution. The suggestions:

  • No more SOS political appointments—election workers (other than ground level election judges) are all state employees
  • No more partisan appointments to State Canvassing Board—make appointed administrative law judges members, who are state employees
  • Centralized administration of foreign ballots
  • Barcoding and central processing of ballots
  • Instituting a provisional ballot system for voters without ID on election day, checked centrally
  • Requiring recounts to be done at a central location

The experience of elections in other countries where democracy is challenged suggests that ballot fraud takes many forms. There is localized fraud, where the town political bosses fail to accurately count ballots. There is regional fraud, where ballot boxes go “missing” (or wires get crossed) on the way to the centralized counting and there is national fraud, where the central electoral council announces a result and manufactures a paper trail later. Centralizing ballot counting is no guarantee of fraud elimination. In fact, it makes fraud on a massive scale, more possible if not more likely. In the case of a state like Minnesota, one need not even imply that the fraud could be intentional. A small mistake at the local level would involve a minimal number of ballots and would be less likely to throw an entire election and elections system in disrepute. A mistake on the state level would be, by definition, systemic and could be catastrophic.

Dr. Kaiser admits that there is a limit to how insulated even a “professional” government employee can be with this vignette from the 2008 Senate recount, in the “drama” of the “missing ballots:”


…the drama involved in getting these “missing” ballots counted, in spite of their apparent non-existence, was viewed as partisan. This suspicion was fueled by the fact that the Director of Elections in Minneapolis at first explained how there might never have been ballots to back up the numbers indicated on the ballot scanner from the precinct in question. Later we were distressed to witness the City of Minneapolis Director of Elections seeming to buckle under partisan influence….

The Deputy Director of Elections in Minneapolis at the time was Cindy Reichert, an employee of the city of Minneapolis. If she could be susceptible (or be perceived to be susceptible) to “partisan” pressure, why would a state employee not feel the heat in a hotly contested state legislative or gubernatorial race, which arguably holds more portent for their conditions of employment than a U.S. senate race would have been for Ms Reichert? State employees are not devoid of associations. They may belong to parties, political groups, churches and unions. There is no state version of the Federal Hatch Act that prevents state employees from participating openly in politics. With partisan appointees to the Secretary of State’s office, at least, we may guess at the affiliation of the appointees and if bias is evident, it may be confirmed and overruled. By demanding that career bureaucrats staff the office, we’ve merely thrown a cloak over any bias by assuming it away.

There is a constitutional solution for many of these problems. It was built into the original design. If the party system is competitive, control over the Secretary of State’s office is bound to alternate. If no party expects to control the office permanently, then competition should keep them honest and cause them not to act in any way that they could pay the price for, down the road, when they are no longer in power. Another constitutional principle, accountability, would prevent any future political appointee or their minions from engaging in any significant abuse that could be exposed. In order to have accountability, there is a great need for transparency in the Secretary of State’s office, for procedures to be visible and understandable to the voter, from the handing of a ballot to and from the voter to the result on election night. Robust competition and the intense scrutiny it fosters is the solution, not placing the entire office into the hands of mandarins.

Local Media Picks up on Monckton Presentation

October 29th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

wccoLast night, WCCO featured the Minnesota Free Market Institute and Lord Christopher Monckton’s presentation in their story on the rise of climate skepticism among Americans. The polls at the beginning of the story show a clear shift in attitudes in America, only 57% now believe there is direct evidence for global warming, down from over 70% in April of last year and only 35% believe global warming is a serious threat, as opposed to 44% in 2008.

The story also included the viral success of Lord Christopher Monckton’s presentation, which has amassed over a million and a half views in two weeks. Monckton has been a guest on numerous TV and radio shows along with speaking engagements at tea parties and other events across the US.

The numbers come at a critical time for global warming activists as the Senate looks to take up cap and trade and White House liaisons ready for a trip to Copenhagen to attend the UN’s climate change summit.

See the proposed cap and trade bill  here.

See the proposed Copenhagen treaty here.

View the WCCO story here.

New Monckton Presentation Video Includes Slides

October 22nd, 2009 by Adam Axvig

Ever since we posted the first video from the presentation Lord Christopher Monckton gave a week ago, we have been inundated with requests to have the video updated to include Lord Monckton’s slides.

We finally completed the updated video today.

Thank you to all the bloggers, tweeters, talk show hosts, news outlets, neighbors and others who made this video such a huge success. We have had interest pour in from all over the world including; Argentina, Australia, Mexico and the United Kingdom. Thank you all for spreading the word!

We have had a lot of requests for DVDs of the presentation. If you are interested, please fill out the form below and we will mail you a copy free of charge. If you are interested in donating please click here.

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Update – More Than 12,000 View Full Monckton Video, 120,000 View Conclusion

October 19th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

The video of Lord Christopher Monckton’s presenation in St. Paul has been viewed over 12,000  times in the last 3 days. We have had a lot of requests for DVDs of the presentation. If you are interested, please fill out the form below.

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Updated with video and Links: Monckton Speaks to Over 700 at Minnesota Free Market Institute Event

October 16th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

Last week, climate skeptic Lord Christopher Monckton spoke to an audience of over 700 in St. Paul. The event also featured the national premiere of a new documentary from the Cascade Policy Institute titled “Climate Chains.” The event was an enormous success. Thank you for all who came!

Note: For those interested, Monckton’s slide show can be found here. The video above is best viewed while following along with the presentation.

Information on the treaty that Lord Christopher Monckton is referencing can be found here. The actual proposed treaty language can be found here.

Here is an excerpt from his speech:

Here is why the truth matters. It was all very well for jesting Pilate to ask that question and then not to tarry for an answer. But that question that he asked, “what is the truth?” is the question which underlies every question and in the end it is the only question that really matters. When you ask that question what you are really asking is “what is the truth about the matter?” And we are now going to see why it matters morally, socially, and politically, as well as economically and scientifically. That the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth should inform public policy on this question. Now, 40 years ago, DDT, the only effective agent against the malaria mosquito was banned. And you saw in that film [Cascade Policy Institute film "Climate Chains" was shown prior --ed] what the effect of that ban was. Before the ban, the inventor of DDT got the Nobel Peace Prize because he had saved more lives than anyone else in the history of the planet. Malaria, one of the greatest killers of children in the Third World had all but been eradicated. There were still 50,000 deaths per year. But when DDT was banned by exactly the same faction, that is now trying to tell us we must close down five sixths of the United States economy that figure is actually in the Waxman- Markey bill. That same faction banned DDT worldwide. The consequences are on the slide there. The number of deaths went up from 50,000 to a million a year and stayed there. For 40 years. 40 million people, nearly all of them children, died of malaria solely and simply because DDT had been banned for no good scientific reason or environmental reason whatsoever. And it was only after every single one of the people responsible for that dismal, murderous decision had retired or died that on September the 15th 2006, Dr. Arata Kochi of the World Health Organization said “Normally in this field, science comes second and politics comes first. But we will now take a stand on the science and the data, and he ended that ban on DDT and made it once again the front line of defense against the malaria mosquito. After pressure from me, among others.

The left, the environmental left, the intolerant, communistic narrow minded faction that does not care how many children it kills it is campaigning once again for DDT to be banned. Because they do not want children to be born in the Third World. They want as much of humanity as possible, it sometimes seems to me, to be wiped off the face of the planet. And there is a better way to control population than to withdraw the one effective agent against one of the worlds biggest killers and that is to raise the standard of living of the poorest. That has long been a moral imperative since the time of Our Blessed Lord himself it has been a moral imperative that we help Our Lord’s the sick and Our Lord’s the poor. And we work for them and we raise them up and we make them healthy and we make them wealthy, because if we make them wealthy, then their populations will stabilize. This is something that every demographer knows perfectly well . Make the population wealthy and it stabilizes. Keep it poor and it will continue to increase. Make it poor if it was wealthy, and it will start to increase again. And if the environmental left were really serious about saving the planet from a huge CO2 footprint (which I will show doesn’t matter at all) then the first thing they would do is pursue policies that would not, as the extinction of five sixths of your economy would do, make you poor. They would be trying to make everybody rich.

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Cascade Policy Institute releases “Climate Chains”

October 15th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

climateChainslogonumber1Today, the Oregon based Cascade Policy Institute released “Climate Chains,” a documentary that “exposes extreme environmentalism and the misguided pursuit of cap-and-trade legislation.” The Minnesota Free Market Institute featured the documentary last night as part of its program with Lord Christopher Monckton. Click here for more information.

Climate Chains from Climate Chains on Vimeo.

BBC – “What Happened to Global Warming?”

October 13th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

coldAs the snow flew in the Twin Cities yesterday, many Minnesotans had to question the now seemingly mainstream theory of anthropogenic global warming. The cold snap broke records from Vancouver, British Columbia through Montana all the way to Mason City, Iowa. Was it a fluke? Or have storm clouds gathered over the science of global warming?

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Over the weekend, the article was among the BBC's most popular.

Over 4,000 miles away, on the other side of the pond, the BBC was asking itself the same question. The headline read, “What Happened to Global Warming?” A bold headline for an institution that, up until now, had been a prominent voice in the call for action on climate change. The BBC has long been a supporter of the theory of anthropogenic global warming, their website even boasts a special section dedicated to educating people about the evidence and effects of global warming. The article addresses the inconvenient fact that for 11 years, the planet has stayed below the record high temperature set in 1998, something climatologists had to admit their models did not predict.

To be clear, the BBC is not performing a u-turn on its endorsement of anthropogenic global warming, but it is highlighting subtle evidence that perhaps the science isn’t as sound as once thought, a bold step outside the mainstream for the world’s premiere public television network.

Pelosi Says Value Added Tax on Table

October 9th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

In an interview with Charlie Rose this week, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that one of the the options on the table was the value added tax (VAT). Pelosi believes that the current tax system puts American industry at a significant disadvantage in the global economy and that a value added tax would help level the playing field.

Senate Budget Committee Chairman, Senator Kent Conrad of North Dakota agrees. In an interview with the Washington Post, Conrad said, “I think a VAT and a high-end income tax have got to be on the table.”

The tax would represent a major shift for the federal government toward a more European system of taxation; the value added tax is compulsory for European Union member states.  The tax is seen as a remedy to the United States’ fiscal woes.

Indeed, the value of the tax as a revenue generator is substantial. In fiscal year 2000, each 1% VAT would have generated $37.8 billion in revenue, according to a Congressional Research Service report. Leonard Burman, director of the Tax Policy Center claims that a 25% VAT could pay for health care for every American (pdf pg 14).

The VAT does have significant drawbacks. According to the Washington Post, the price for a gallon of milk would jump from $3.69 to $4.61 under the 25% VAT. The price increases would fall hardest on the poor, making many on the left wary of instituting such a regressive tax.

The White House indicated it would consider the tax but acknowledged the political realities of attempting such sweeping reforms.

A Hiring Tax Credit?

October 7th, 2009 by Adam Axvig

cantormnfmiThe federal government is tossing around the idea of creating a tax credit for businesses hiring new employees. The bipartisan credit has been gaining momentum as employment numbers continue to frustrate economists. According to the New York Times, several key economists, including Nobel laureates and former cabinet members, support the measure.

The credit could cost upwards of $20,000 per job, according to research by the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, a relative bargain when compared to the hefty price tag of $92,000 per stimulus job.

The measure is likely to have some clear opposition from both sides of the aisle. Many on the right do not like tax breaks with strings attached, while many on the left will see it as just another corporate handout lacking a guarantee of results.

Many states have implemented similar programs with varying degrees of success, though some question the sustainability of such a program. Others question whether the dangled carrot (a few thousand dollars) is big enough to entice an already imperiled business sector to hire additional employees, or would they just be getting an extra few thousand dollars for employees they were going to hire anyway.

The White House is said to be seriously considering the proposal.

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