Both legislative leaders and opinion leaders have criticized Gov. Tim Pawlenty for “not compromising” with the legislature-for refusing to increase marginal tax rates. But as citizens are making do with less, it’s time for state and local governments to do the same.
Let’s review a few of the ways in which the recession is already affecting people in the private sector-that is, people who pay for government.
We’re getting pink slipped. Nationally, unemployment is at a 25-year high, and the possibility statistic may increase is haunting everyone who is not a government employee.
We’re taking furloughs. Companies that prefer not to lose workers, especially highly skilled ones, are using furloughs. A survey earlier this year by the firm Watson Wyatt Worldwide Inc. found that 17 percent of companies had used furloughs. Some companies are using both furloughs and other temporary pay cuts, together with layoffs, to survive the recession.
We’re watching our dollars and buying less. We’re shopping less at Best Buy and more at Wal-Mart, replacing vacations with “staycations,” and repairing consumer products rather than replacing them.
On the other hand, the recession isn’t so bad if you work for government. That’s because it has been a tale of two workforces, one subject to the vagaries of the market and the other not. Steve Malanga, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, drew this contrast in a recent op-ed in the Wall Street Journal:
“Some five million private-sector workers have lost their jobs in the last year alone, and their unemployment rate is above nine percent according to the BLS [Bureau of Labor Statistics]. By contrast, public-sector employment has grown in virtually every month of the recession, and the jobless rate for government workers is a mere 2.8 percent.”
Here in Minnesota, major private companies such as Best Buy and Thomson Reuters are laying off people, offering buyouts, and generally shrinking their workforce. Medtronic announced Tuesday it was parting ways with 1,500 to 1,800 companywide, about 600 in the Twin Cities. By contrast, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees and the Minnesota Association of Professional Employees, two large unions for state workers, recently accepted a two-year contract. True, it calls for no increase in the pay scale. On the other hand, the unions have resisted any talk of furloughs.
The union leaders are doing their jobs – protecting the financial interests of their members. But when your income is down, you re-evaluate your spending priorities. It’s time for legislators, acting as the agents of the citizens, to apply the same discipline that we apply in our personal lives.
Since at least 1960-the earliest year for which I could find records-spending in Minnesota has gone up each biennium. This is true of both the general fund and of all funds as a group.
In the average biennium since 1960-61 in this state, all-funds spending went up 19 percent, and general-fund spending increased 20 percent. Over this same time, by contrast, personal income has gone up an average 13 percent per biennium. In other words, Minnesota residents are devoting a greater portion of their well-earned income to government.
All-funds spending went up 28 percent each biennium, until the Reagan area. Since the 1980-81 biennium, the average increase has been “only” 12 percent for both general and all-funds spending. Even more encouraging, personal income has actually grown faster than spending on government: Since 1980-81, personal income has grown 13 percent every two years, just slightly outpacing spending on government.
Still, the historic trend is clear. For every dollar Minnesotans earned in 1960, they earned $29 in 2007. But they have had an unsustainable appetite for government: For every one dollar Minnesota spent on state government in 1960, it spent $49 in 2007.
Minnesota has a long history of creating taxes, including an income tax in 1933 and a sales tax in 1967. It has continued to tighten the screws on taxpayers by extending measures such as ones requiring withholding (1961) and taxing out-of-state professional athletes (1989). Along the way, the states has enacted surtaxes (1949, 1981), increased them (1982) and extended them again (1983). It even put a surtax on the bonus our country gave to people who were drafted by the military (1957). And of course rate increases are nothing new, either: The first increase in the income tax came a mere four years after the tax itself was established.
Raising tax rates would certainly be consistent with Minnesota history. But it would deny citizens the opportunity to let the growth of government match (or better yet, lag) the growth of the private sector rather than exceed it.
Government should borrow a page from the private sector, in which hard times focus leaders’ minds on reevaluating business methods and jettisoning non-core functions and activities.
Should opponents of tax increases “compromise”? Only if they wish to waste the opportunity presented by the recession to bring the relationship of the political sector and the private economy back into balance.
Many of us have had to make do with less-and do less. It’s time for Minnesota and other governments to do the same.
(A slightly different version was printed in the May 21 Saint Paul Legal Ledger Capitol Report.)










Thoughts on the Auto Industry Bailout
December 11th, 2008 by John La PlanteYou want a bailout of the UAW and its partners at the Big 3? Then be prepared some more wheeling/dealing.
Minnesota Sen. Norm Coleman is disposed towards this new bailout. According to Minnesota Public Radio, “Coleman spokesman, Leroy Coleman, said before the GOP senator will support an auto-industry bailout package, he needs some assurances.”
Assurances … such as?
Say, that Ford will keep open an ancient manufacturing plant that it has in the city of Saint Paul.
Great. Democrats will want to decide how much the CEO gets and Republicans want to make sure that obsolete facilities in their own states aren’t closed.
This smells-to-high-heaven situation reminds me of the old problem we had with obsolete military bases. It was obvious that the bases should be closed, but each had a political patron, meaning that they never did get closed. Taxpayers can thank ex-representative Dick Armey for pushing through Congress the BRAC, which has saved us all an aircraft carrier full of cash but taking Congress out of the loop.
The way things are going, we’ll need an automotive version of BRAC before long.
Or we could simply let the companies go bankrupt and let their managers sort it all out, and avoid the intervening years of politics.
….
Should taxpayers bail out GM, Ford and Chrysler in exchange for stock?.
No way, no how.
I understand the impulse: If we’re putting money at risk, let’s share the upside. But as bad as it is to flush $25 billion down the toilet to appease the sick side of the auto industry, there’s something far worse: A government bailout will succeed and leave the feds as part owners of these companies.
Do I hate making money? No. But in the unlikely event that this scenario plays out, it would be used as a rationale for other forms of nationalization–and our economy and political system would be fundamentally changed into one in which what matters is now who can build a better car or mouse trap or whatnot, but who can corral the most political power. And when political power is the be-all and end-all, life becomes once again nasty, brutish, and short.
If we insist in offering up $25 billion to the gods of the big 3, just give it to them in cash.
Or better yet, print it out as dollar bills and then incinerate it. At least we could heat some homes this winter with it.
…..
If we make the very stupid decision to nationalize the automotive industry–and I would call government cash, government-installed board members and further regulation of business nationalization–we will have gotten into that sorry mess because of many reasons. One of which is that we did not consider the lesson of the broken window.
Consider the thug who goes about town smashing store windows. You might say “Well hey, that’s not so bad. Actually, it means that the glass company gets some new business, and they can then pay their workers who buy stuff from other people and we’re all better off.”
We would certainly see a lot of economic activity as a result of that vandalism. But what we would not see is more significant. We don’t see the things that people would have spent their money on if it hadn’t been spent on replacing the glass.
In the same way, money spent on a bailout is money diverted from other uses that would have greater benefits. How many new inventions, new businesses, and even new career fields will we NOT see because we insist on focusing on what is obvious (three collapsing companies and their partners) rather than what is important for the future?
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